Bitcoin days higher than current price (AUD)
For every historical daily close in Bitcoin's AUD price history, how many were higher than today's price? The headline figure tells you what fraction of the past you are currently 'above' in price terms. Pair with the chart: a log-scale BTC AUD line with a gold dashed horizontal line at today's price. Days above the gold line are the days where BTC closed higher than today. Hover any point for the exact close and the difference vs today.
Chart
Log-scale BTC AUD price from January 2013 to today with a gold dashed line at today's price. Days above the gold line are the days where BTC closed higher than today. Hover any point for the exact close and the difference vs today.
What is Bitcoin's current price percentile?
The percentile rank in the stats grid above is the live figure; as of 8 October 2026 it reads 90.8. Interpretation reference:
- 0-20: Bitcoin is sitting in the bottom fifth of its historical AUD distribution. It has never read this low in the data; the deepest reading was about 35 in August 2015.
- 20-40: Below historical median. Only seen in 2015, when the price history was short.
- 40-60: Mid-cycle. Price action consistent with consolidation or early-stage trend phases.
- 60-80: Above historical median but not yet at extremes. Mid-to-late bull territory.
- 80-100: Top quintile of historical distribution. Every cycle peak read close to 100. Because the long-run trend has been so steep, the rank has also stayed above 80 through recent pullbacks, so a reading in this band is not by itself a top signal. Read it alongside % of ATH.
How to interpret the days-higher figure
The raw count and the percentile rank are two views of the same metric:
- Raw days higher count. Useful for "how many specific days were better entries than today". When this is 0, BTC is at a fresh ATH.
- Percentile rank. Useful for cycle-context. Normalises across dataset size so a 75th-percentile reading in 2026 means the same as a 75th-percentile reading in 2020 in terms of how 'unusually high' the current price is.
- % of ATH. Complementary metric. Shows current price as a percentage of the all-time high. A high days-higher count combined with a low % of ATH is a deep bear-market signal.
The metric is intentionally simple - it makes no assumptions about cycle phase, trend, or future direction. It just asks: "where does today's price sit in the distribution of every prior daily close?"
Days higher vs profitable days
| Metric | Question answered | High value means | Low value means |
|---|---|---|---|
| Days higher than today | How many past closes were greater than today's price? | Today's price is low relative to history (potentially undervalued) | Today's price is high relative to history (potentially overvalued) |
| Days profitable to hold from | What % of past buyers are currently in profit? | Most historical buyers are profitable (BTC has rallied strongly from most prior levels) | Many historical buyers are underwater (BTC is at or below most prior closes) |
The two metrics are mathematically mirror images: days higher + days profitable + days equal = total days. But they frame the same data from different angles. Days higher is cycle-positioning; profitable days is buyer-experience. Use both for a fuller picture: a low percentile rank + low profitable-days reading is the deepest-bear signal (BTC is below most prior closes AND most prior buyers are underwater).
Methodology
- Inputs. Daily BTC/AUD closes from
/assets/data/btc-aud-daily.jsonfrom January 2013: Bitstamp BTC/USD converted at the daily AUD/USD rate, with Kraken's native BTC/AUD market for the last two years. Refreshed automatically every day. - Days higher. Count of historical daily closes where close > today's close.
- Percentile rank. (total_days - days_higher) / total_days × 100. Equivalent to expressing today's price as a percentile of all historical closes.
- Chart. Log-scale price line + horizontal dashed line at today's close. The visual area above the gold line is the days-higher set.
- Static-first. If a price source is unreachable, the existing daily file is kept.
Related tools
- Bitcoin Profitable Days (AUD) - the mirror metric (buyer-profitability framing).
- Bitcoin Drawdown From ATH (AUD) - cycle position via % below running ATH.
- Bitcoin Mayer Multiple (AUD) - cycle position via price ÷ 200DMA.
- Bitcoin Risk Metric (AUD) - 0-1 cycle positioning score.
- Bitcoin Yearly Highs and Lows (AUD) - per-year peak/trough/return.
- Charts Dashboard - all cycle indicators on one page.
Frequently asked questions
It's the count of historical Bitcoin AUD daily closes that were higher than the current price. If the figure is 0, today's price is a new all-time high (no day was ever higher). If the figure is the maximum, today's price is the all-time low (every day was higher). As of 8 October 2026, 464 of 5,029 daily closes since January 2013 were higher than today's A$118,282. A low count means BTC is sitting near its peak; a high count means it is cheap relative to most of its history.
Percentile rank = (total days - days higher than today) / total days × 100. It expresses the days-higher count as a 0-100 score where 100 = at all-time high and 0 = at all-time low. It currently reads 90.8. The percentile-rank card above the chart is colour-coded: green (under 40), lime (40-60), yellow (60-80), red (80 and above). The headline reading is recomputed live on every page load.
Profitable days = days where buying then and holding to today = profit. Days higher = days where the BTC AUD close was greater than today. Mathematically these are mirror images: profitable days + days higher + days at exactly today's price = total days. But they answer different questions. Profitable days is a 'how forgiving has Bitcoin been to holders' metric. Days higher is a 'where does today's price sit in the historical distribution' metric. The two cards are complementary, not duplicate.
Not necessarily. Days higher = 0 means Bitcoin is at a new all-time high, which is common during bull markets and is the only time the metric reaches that floor. It can mean a breakout into a new cycle high (continuation) or a cycle top forming (reversal). Pair with Mayer Multiple, Pi Cycle Top, and Risk Metric to distinguish the two. Since January 2013, Bitcoin has closed within 10 percent of its running all-time high on about 17 percent of days.
Measured as it stood on each day, the rank's deepest trough was about 35 percent in August 2015, when the data held only two and a half years of history and most of it sat above the 2015 price. Later bear markets never came close to that: the lows were about 76 percent in February 2019, 73 percent in the March 2020 COVID crash, 79 percent in January 2023 after the FTX collapse, and 83 percent in June 2026. Because Bitcoin has risen so far over the sample, each new bear market still sits above most of its earlier history, so the rank now stays high even at cycle lows.
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