Bitcoin & Crypto Charts Dashboard (AUD)
Fifty-seven Bitcoin and crypto indicators on one page across 12 sections. Cycle position (11), mining network (5), institutional flow (6), derivatives positioning (4), ETFs and treasuries (2), BTC vs alts rotation (2), sentiment (4), cycle timing (3), secondary context (1), priced-in-BTC ratios (8), traditional markets (5), and altcoin power laws (6). All AUD-native where relevant, all interactive (hover any sparkline), with data refreshed twice a day. The comprehensive AU-investor cycle-reading dashboard, free, no signup.
Latest reading: The SatoshiMacro Model, which condenses the Bitcoin cycle signals on this dashboard into one 0 to 100 reading, stood at 38.3 (Neutral) as of 8 October 2026.
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Bitcoin cycle position
Where BTC sits in the long-run cycle (11 indicators)Mining network
Hashrate, difficulty, miner revenue, capitulation signals (5 indicators)Institutional flow + leverage
US institutional buying, leverage, ETF flows, MSTR accumulation (6 indicators)Derivatives positioning
Futures basis, venue spreads, implied vol, options positioning (4 indicators)ETFs + treasuries
IBIT AUM growth and AU-listed spot BTC ETF traction (2 indicators)BTC vs alts rotation
Which side of the BTC-vs-alts rotation is winning right now (2 indicators)Sentiment
Fear & Greed plus AU Google Trends (search interest) signals (4 indicators)Cycle timing
Halving countdown, monthly + quarterly returns (3 indicators)Secondary context
Profitable-days percentage (1 indicator)Priced in BTC
AU property, gold, equity, bonds priced in Bitcoin (8 indicators)Traditional markets
US + AU equity, gold, FX context (5 indicators)Other crypto assets
AUD-native log regression for ETH + 5 major alts (6 indicators)How to read the dashboard
The dashboard is organised into 12 sections by indicator function. Scan top-to-bottom to read the full state of the market across price, supply, institutional positioning, derivatives, sentiment, timing, relative-value, and macro context.
- Bitcoin cycle position (11 indicators). Where BTC sits in the long-run cycle, derived from different statistical models. Log Regression / Power Law sigma, Rainbow Chart, Risk Metric / Power Law Oscillator, Pi Cycle Top, Pi Cycle Bottom, Mayer Multiple, 200-week MA Heatmap, MVRV Z-Score, 2YMA Multiplier, Golden Ratio Multiplier, Drawdown from ATH. These should broadly agree; divergence between them is information.
- Mining network (5 indicators). Hashrate (network security), Difficulty (adjustment cadence), Hash Ribbons (Capriole miner-capitulation signal), Puell Multiple (miner-revenue cycle), Miner Revenue (AUD-native daily issuance + fees). Supply-side cycle confirmation that complements the price-based indicators.
- Institutional flow + leverage (6 indicators). Coinbase Premium (US institutional bid), BTC perpetual funding rate (leverage sentiment), aggregate open interest, cumulative spot ETF holdings (post-Jan 2024), daily spot ETF net flows (7D-smoothed classification), MSTR BTC accumulation curve.
- Derivatives positioning (4 indicators). 3-month futures basis (annualised, contango / backwardation), Bybit vs Binance basis (venue divergence), Deribit DVOL (BTC 30D implied volatility), Deribit put / call ratio (options-market positioning).
- ETFs + treasuries (2 indicators). IBIT AUM trajectory (BlackRock's spot BTC ETF) and AU-listed spot BTC ETFs (combined funds under management across the ASX-quoted funds, from the ASX monthly report).
- BTC vs alts rotation (2 indicators). Bitcoin Dominance (where capital sits now), Altcoin Season Index (90-day rotation flow). Rising dominance + falling Altseason = BTC-led phase. Falling dominance + rising Altseason = alt-led phase.
- Sentiment (4 indicators). Crypto Fear and Greed Index (composite social sentiment), plus three AU-specific Google Trends signals (Bitcoin, Buy Bitcoin AU, Bitcoin tax AU). The AU search-interest signals lead AU retail-flow cycles.
- Cycle timing (3 indicators). Days to next halving (April 2028), latest monthly return, latest quarterly return. Halving countdown contextualises where in the four-year cycle the market sits; monthly + quarterly returns surface short-term momentum.
- Secondary context (1 indicator). Profitable Days: percentage of historical BTC trading days that closed below the current price. Cycle-position proxy that's intuitive at a glance.
- Priced in BTC (8 indicators). AU property (Sydney / Melbourne / AU national median house in BTC), gold ounces per BTC, plus ASX 200 / MSTR / COIN / TLT priced in BTC. Relative-value cycle context: when traditional assets fall in BTC terms, Bitcoin is outperforming.
- Traditional markets (5 indicators). S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, ASX 200, gold spot, AUD/USD. Macro context for risk-asset cycle reading and AU FX exposure.
- Other crypto assets (6 indicators). AUD-native log regression sigma readings for Ethereum, Solana, XRP, Chainlink, Avalanche, and Cardano. Alts often inflect at different cycle phases than BTC; the per-asset log regressions surface those divergences.
Each card shows:
- Headline value: the current reading in large mono font, colour-coded to match the classification.
- Classification badge: plain-English band (Top zone, Lean alt, Bitcoin Season, etc.).
- Interactive sparkline: last ~12-36 months of the indicator's history. Hover any point for the value at that date.
- Updated date: when the underlying data was last refreshed.
- Open full chart link: click the card to navigate to the full standalone tool with methodology, FAQs, and historical context.
Reading the cycle together (confluence patterns)
No single indicator reliably calls Bitcoin's cycle top or bottom. The dashboard exists precisely because cycle reading is a multi-indicator process. The two confluence patterns to watch are below. For the Risk Metric, 200-week MA Heatmap, MVRV Z-Score proxy and Pi Cycle Bottom, the zones are percentile bands of each indicator's own AUD history: the top zone is the highest 5 percent of readings and the bottom zone the lowest 10 percent (for example, since 31 October 2016 for the MVRV proxy). The other rows use each indicator's published definitional levels.
Late-cycle (top zone) confluence
| Indicator | Top-zone reading |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin Risk Metric | 0.67 and above (Top zone) |
| Mayer Multiple | Above 2.4 |
| Pi Cycle Top | Ratio at or above 1.0 (signal fired) |
| 200WMA Heatmap | 4-week ROC 10.71% and above (Top zone) |
| MVRV Z-Score (proxy) | 4.96 and above (Top zone) |
| Bitcoin Dominance | Rolling over after a peak |
| Altcoin Season Index | Above 75 (Altcoin Season) |
| Crypto Fear and Greed | Above 75 (Extreme Greed) |
| BTC Rainbow Chart | Sell. Seriously, SELL! or Maximum Bubble Territory band |
Early-cycle (bottom zone) confluence
| Indicator | Bottom-zone reading |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin Risk Metric | Below 0.12 (Deep value) |
| Mayer Multiple | Below 0.6 |
| 200WMA Heatmap | 4-week ROC below 1.47% (Cycle bottom) |
| MVRV Z-Score (proxy) | Below 0.08 (Bottom zone) |
| Pi Cycle Bottom | Ratio below 0.96 (Bottom zone) |
| Bitcoin Dominance | Rising or peaking |
| Altcoin Season Index | Below 25 (Bitcoin Season) |
| Crypto Fear and Greed | Below 25 (Extreme Fear) |
| BTC Rainbow Chart | BUY! or Fire Sale band |
How past cycles actually read (AUD data behind these cards, computed the same way the cards compute them). On the fixed-level indicators, the December 2017 top came closest to the full set: Mayer Multiple about 3.75 and the Pi Cycle ratio crossing 1.0 by January 2018. The 2021 tops were weaker (Mayer about 2.4 in March 2021 and 1.5 in November, Pi Cycle peaking about 0.98 in April), and the 2025 top read mid-range (Mayer about 1.2). On the percentile-zone indicators, taking the highest reading within 30 days of each documented top and the lowest within 60 days of each documented bottom:
- Risk Metric card: tops 2013 cycle top 1.00 (Top zone); 2017 cycle top 0.80 (Top zone); 2021 first peak 0.73 (Top zone); 2021 second peak (cycle top) 0.669 (High risk); bottoms 2015 cycle bottom 0.15 (Accumulation); 2018 cycle bottom 0.17 (Accumulation); 2022 cycle bottom 0.13 (Accumulation).
- MVRV Z-Score proxy: tops 2017 cycle top 9.29 (Top zone); 2021 first peak 5.34 (Top zone); 2021 second peak (cycle top) 3.20 (High risk); bottoms 2018 cycle bottom 0.05 (Bottom zone); 2022 cycle bottom -0.41 (Bottom zone).
- 200WMA 4-week ROC (%): tops 2017 cycle top 28.61 (Top zone); 2021 first peak 10.72 (Top zone); 2021 second peak (cycle top) 5.93 (Expansion); bottoms 2018 cycle bottom 2.14 (Cooling); 2022 cycle bottom 1.17 (Cycle bottom).
- Pi Cycle Bottom ratio: bottoms 2015 cycle bottom 0.87 (Bottom zone); 2018 cycle bottom 0.89 (Bottom zone); 2022 cycle bottom 0.80 (Bottom zone).
The MVRV proxy and the 200WMA rate of change start in late 2016, so they do not cover the 2013 top or the 2015 bottom. Mayer read about 0.5 to 0.6 at the December 2018, March 2020 and November 2022 lows.
Confluence reads catch cycle inflection points with much higher reliability than single-indicator signals. The dashboard makes confluence visible at a glance: scan the colour-coded classification badges down the page; if 5+ are in the same extreme zone, that's a high-conviction read.
Methodology
- Data sources. Bitcoin AUD prices: Bitstamp BTC/USD daily closes converted at the daily AUD/USD rate from Yahoo Finance, with Kraken's native BTC/AUD closes for roughly the last two years; monthly values are derived from the daily file. Ethereum AUD prices: Coinbase ETH/USD converted the same way, Kraken ETH/AUD for recent history and CoinMarketCap for January to May 2016. Other altcoins: Yahoo Finance USD candles converted at AUD/USD (CoinMarketCap monthly history for XRP, LINK and ADA before November 2017). Bitcoin Dominance: CoinMarketCap global-metrics history (month-end values). Altcoin Season Index: CoinMarketCap listings (point-in-time top 50 at each month end for history, the latest listing's 90-day change for the current reading), with CoinPaprika and Binance daily closes as fallback. Crypto Fear and Greed: alternative.me public API. Mining: mempool.space for hashrate and difficulty, blockchain.info for fees. Derivatives: public exchange APIs (OKX, Deribit, Coinbase Exchange and others). ETFs and treasuries: issuer and SEC filings, Farside Investors and SoSoValue flow data. Traditional markets and priced-in-BTC: Yahoo Finance, plus CoreLogic and ABS dwelling data for the property ratios.
- Refresh cadence. An automated cloud refresh runs twice a day (07:30 and 13:30 Sydney), verifies prices against Coinbase and Kraken, and commits new data; the site rebuilds on each commit. Each data file carries a `data_through` date visible in the dashboard banner.
- Computations. All cycle indicators (regression, sigma, Mayer ratio, Pi Cycle ratio, MVRV proxy, risk metric) are computed client-side on the dashboard page load from the static JSON data files. This means no on-page server cost and no rate-limit risk; the maths matches the standalone tool pages byte-for-byte.
- Resilience. If any data file is unreadable or missing, that specific card shows a "data refreshing on next build" placeholder. The rest of the dashboard continues to render. Zero JavaScript errors. The site never breaks because a free API was rate-limited.
- Static-first architecture. The data files in the repository are the source of truth for the browser. The fetch scripts are opportunistic refresh, not a build dependency. If both primary and fallback sources fail during a refresh, the previous data file is preserved unchanged and the dashboard renders with the last-known-good values.
Frequently asked questions
The SatoshiMacro Model, which condenses the Bitcoin cycle signals on this dashboard into one 0 to 100 reading, stood at 38.3 (Neutral) as of 8 October 2026.
Fifty-seven Bitcoin and crypto indicators on one page, organised into 12 sections: Bitcoin cycle position (11 price-based cycle indicators), mining network (5 hashrate / difficulty / Hash Ribbons / Puell / miner revenue), institutional flow + leverage (6 Coinbase premium / funding rate / open interest / ETF flows / MSTR accumulation), derivatives positioning (4 futures basis / venue spreads / DVOL / put-call ratio), ETFs and treasuries (2 IBIT AUM + AU-listed BTC ETFs), BTC vs alts rotation (2), sentiment (4 Fear & Greed + AU Google Trends), cycle timing (3 halving countdown + monthly + quarterly returns), secondary context (profitable-days percentage), priced-in-BTC ratios (8 Sydney / Melbourne / AU house / gold / ASX 200 / MSTR / COIN / TLT in BTC), traditional markets (5 S&P 500 / NASDAQ / ASX / gold / AUD-USD), and altcoin power laws (6 ETH / SOL / XRP / LINK / AVAX / ADA log regression bands). Each card shows current value, colour-coded classification badge, interactive sparkline, and a click-through to the full standalone tool.
Twice a day. An automated cloud refresh runs at 07:30 and 13:30 Sydney time, pulls every data file from free public sources, checks the Bitcoin and Ether prices against Coinbase and Kraken, and commits the new data; the site rebuilds on each commit. Bitcoin AUD prices come from Bitstamp BTC/USD converted at the daily AUD/USD rate, with Kraken's native BTC/AUD prices for roughly the last two years. Ether uses Coinbase ETH/USD the same way (Kraken ETH/AUD recently, CoinMarketCap for early 2016). Bitcoin Dominance comes from CoinMarketCap's global-metrics history, the Altcoin Season Index from CoinMarketCap listings (CoinPaprika and Binance as fallback), Fear and Greed from alternative.me, and traditional markets from Yahoo Finance. If a source is unreachable, the last good data file is kept and the dashboard renders with those values.
Australian-resident investors measure portfolio value in AUD. Bitcoin is quoted in USD on global exchanges, but the AUD-USD exchange rate moves independently of Bitcoin, which means USD-priced indicators (like the standard Bitbo or LookIntoBitcoin charts) understate or overstate cycle position from an Australian-resident perspective. SatoshiMacro is AUD-native throughout: the regression bands, risk metric, monthly heatmap, and DCA backtest all use AUD-priced data so the cycle reading reflects what an Australian-resident investor actually experiences.
None individually. The dashboard exists precisely because no single indicator reliably calls Bitcoin's cycle top or bottom. Cycle reading is a multi-indicator process. The most informative approach is to look for confluence: if the Risk Metric is in the 'Top zone' AND Mayer Multiple is above 2.4 AND Pi Cycle has fired AND Bitcoin Dominance is rolling over AND the Altcoin Season Index is above 75, that's a high-conviction late-cycle read. Single-indicator signals (e.g., 'Mayer just crossed 2.4') are noisy. Confluence reads across 3-5 indicators historically catch cycle inflection points with much higher reliability.
Cycle confluence means multiple independent indicators all pointing to the same cycle phase at the same time. The dashboard groups indicators by category (cycle position, rotation, sentiment, cycle timing) precisely so you can scan for confluence at a glance. Late-cycle flags the dashboard uses: Risk Metric at or above 0.67, Mayer above 2.4, Pi Cycle near 1.0, 200WMA ROC at or above 10.71%, MVRV Z-Score proxy at or above 4.96, Dominance rolling over, Altseason Index above 75, Fear and Greed above 75. Early-cycle flags: Risk Metric below 0.12, Mayer below 0.6, 200WMA ROC below 1.47%, MVRV Z-Score proxy below 0.08, Pi Cycle Bottom ratio below 0.96, Fear and Greed below 25. The Risk Metric, 200WMA ROC, MVRV proxy and Pi Cycle Bottom levels are percentile bands of each indicator's own AUD history (top zone = highest 5 percent of readings, bottom zone = lowest 10 percent). Past cycles did not tick every box; see the notes under the confluence tables on this page.
Same methodology, AUD-native pricing, and free without signup. Lookintobitcoin and Bitbo are USD-only and (for Lookintobitcoin) partially behind a paid subscription. SatoshiMacro implements the same canonical indicators (Pi Cycle, Mayer, MVRV, Dominance, Altseason, Rainbow Chart) but pulls AUD-priced data so the values are correct for Australian-resident investors. The MVRV Z-Score is a price-based proxy (the true MVRV needs paid on-chain data); the page clearly labels this with the methodology note.
The dashboard URL is shareable as-is; it reflects the latest auto-updated values on every load. For embedding a specific indicator chart (with full historical context and methodology), use the individual tool pages linked from each card. Every tool page has a share strip with URL, HTML link, Markdown link, and citation snippets ready to paste into emails, blog posts, Reddit threads, or accountant communications.
Stock-to-Flow (PlanB's S2F model) has materially diverged from Bitcoin's actual price since 2021, which has invalidated it as a predictive model. Including it on a cycle dashboard would be misleading. NUPL (Net Unrealised Profit / Loss) requires on-chain data that's only available through paid subscriptions (Glassnode, CryptoQuant). The MVRV Z-Score proxy on this dashboard captures the same 'price vs realised value' signal NUPL aims at, using freely available 200-week MA data as the realised-value substitute.